2/14/2021

How the Decline of the Compact Disc Is Killing Music

 

Goodbye CDs

I recently bought a new Jeep, and I absolutely love it. It looks awesome, and it has knobby tires and four-wheel drive that comes in very handy where I live. It has countless gadgets, mostly controlled by a touch screen on the dash. It has a computer that monitors everything from oil life to tire pressure, and it has a GPS system to tell me where I am and where I am supposed to be going. It has heated seats, and it has a cool backup camera to prevent me from accidentally running stuff over.

But do you know what it doesn’t have? A compact disc player. It has USB ports and an SD card reader, and it has Bluetooth and an aux-in jack, but not a CD player. While this doesn’t make me love my Jeep any less, and I know it has become the standard on most vehicles, it is a bit frustrating. I don’t know exactly how many CDs I own. Certainly, there are many hundreds, if not over a thousand. They are all now useless in my new vehicle.

Apparently CDs just aren’t cool anymore. This move by car companies is a reflection of a trend in society in general. People don't buy CDs the way they used to, and why should they when there are other, more convenient ways to buy and store music?

But for me, the decline of the compact disc isn’t just annoying. I think it’s an indicator of a much greater problem that won’t be fully realized for a decade or more. And, when it eventually comes down, it will hit music lovers hard.

In this article, I’ll try to explain why I’m not just frustrated by the move away from compact discs, but downright frightened.

Technology Marches On

Before I had a big CD collection, I had a big cassette tape collection. Again, I had hundreds of them. Maybe twenty-five years ago I started trading them in and replacing them with CDs. Before cassettes, people collected vinyl records. I only had a couple of those, but I do remember when most home stereo systems came with a record player. I also remember the 8-track boom when I was a kid, which was but a flash in the pan.

Technology changes and advances, and generally that’s a good thing. As tough as it is to find a compact disc player in a new car these days, it’s a whole lot tougher to find one that has a cassette player. It’s unrealistic to expect CD technology, or any technology, to exist forever.

Today, digital music is the thing. You don’t need to own a physical version of the music. You can download the MP3, store it and play it when you feel like it. You don’t even need to buy the whole album if you’d rather buy just one song, and you can carry many hundreds of songs with you on one small storage device.

In a lot of ways that’s pretty cool. Consumers have more choices and can move more quickly when they want to make a purchase. Bands are able to get their music out there to more people. But in other ways, I think, this model will eventually damage music as we know it.

The problem isn’t that compact discs are going away. It is that they aren’t being replaced by another physical, durable medium. Digital music, stored in the cloud or even on your own personal hard drive or storage device, has an inherently short shelf life. When technology changes again, when you change computers or when you delete a user account, you may make an effort to retain some of the music you like, but much of it will be gone forever. There are no physical copies to stand as a record that it ever existed at all.

If music isn’t important to you, you probably don’t care about this. If you are like the typical consumer you buy music on a whim and have no particular allegiance to any band, artist or genre. Music is just something in the background to distract you when you aren’t thinking about Dancing with the Stars.

But if music means something to you, or if you think art and culture with substance and value should matter, this is really bad news. To me, an album by a band I love is something I want to hold in my hands and cherish. If my hundreds of CDs were stored on my computer instead of sitting on my shelf it wouldn’t be the same.

Music matters, and it should be preserved for the future.

Music matters, and it should be preserved for the future.

Why Physical Music Matters

If you were a Beatles fan back in the ‘60s you probably bought the Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band record when it first came out in 1967. I’d bet a lot of Beatles fans still own those same original albums they spent their pennies on way back then. It still exists in physical form, even if it is stored in a box somewhere. And, if you go out and find a turntable, you can still listen to it.

If you are a bit younger and you were a Beatles fan back in 1980 you probably bought Sgt. Pepper on cassette. If you are younger still, in 1990 you likely bought the album on CD.

Heck, there are probably a lot of people who own Sgt. Pepper on vinyl, cassette, and CD, having upgraded each time technology changed. Many copies of each of those still exist, somewhere. They are physical things you can touch and hold.

But the next generation who buys Sgt. Pepper will do so in a digital format. Where will that digital copy be in ten, twenty or thirty years? Chances are it will not exist, and least, not your version that you downloaded.

The Beatles are one thing, but what about a new band who releases their first album today? If most of their music is sold in digital format, where will those albums be in the future? It simply isn’t possible to hold on to a collection of music in digital format for years and decades the way you could with vinyl, cassette, and CDs. If you hope to do so, you are depending on a range of unlikely variables.

So what if I lose my Sgt. Pepper album when my computer explodes or technology changes, you might be thinking. Surely there will be versions of an old album in new formats just like there were in cassette and CD. You can just buy it again.

You’re right. Beatles albums will probably be offered in the most modern formats until the end of time, but that’s not true for all bands. It’s nice to think that record companies would continue to offer a band’s music in new formats for anyone who wants it, but if the money isn’t there surely they won’t bother. There will be songs, albums and entire bands that end up completely lost to time.

That happened with other formats too. But the difference was if a band released a vinyl record album back in 1965 and it was never released on cassette tape or CD, at least copies of the vinyl record are potentially still around. Even though some rare or old albums are no longer printed in any format, if you put your mind to it you could buy an old one on eBay or from a collector if you are lucky.

That won’t be true of digital music. Record companies will decide what music lives and dies based on popularity, which is what they’ve always done. But, without physical copies, the fans of future generations will miss out on a lot of great music that didn’t make the cut. It will simply be gone.

This will hit fans of more obscure genres like metal, jazz and classical especially hard. If you are a casual pop music fan, again, you probably won’t care. However, I like to think maybe you'd care simply because the loss of so much great music will make the world a worse place.

Your Music in 20 Years

If you buy an album in digital form today, do you expect to still own it in twenty years? If so, you are banking on some pretty unlikely events. You need to hope that in twenty years there is still some program or service that plays whatever format your music is stored in. You’re going to have to hope whatever technology you are storing it on remains viable, intact and free of viruses, and that you remember to back everything up correctly and transfer it over each time you change computers or devices.

If you are storing your music online or in the cloud, you need to depend on those services being around in twenty years, and you need to hope they don’t have some kind of problem or disappear overnight. You are going to have to hope that, if something bad does happen, there is still some version of your music out there for you to replace your lost copy.

To be clear, digital music technology is a good thing. It’s good for new bands, it’s good for established bands and it’s good for the consumer. It makes things easier for everybody, and if you are an unsigned band there has never been a time in history when it is more possible to get your music out to more people.

But it lacks a sturdy vessel, and that’s a big problem. We can’t rely on hard drives and the ubiquitous “cloud storage” to protect our music and culture for years or decades to come. Unless this changes, in twenty years there will be a lot of music you remember from years past that you simply will not have access to anymore. It may exist somewhere, in the digital vault of some record company, but as far as the public is concerned it is gone.

Personally, I like the idea that I can remember a band from my high school or college days and still easily find their music. And, for me and I know many others, it’s also about more than just the audio portion of an album. I love the album art, leafing through the liner notes and song lyrics and all the other great stuff that came with a CD or album. With digital music, all of it is gone and that’s really sad.

Physical albums have value beyond the audio. Bands like Evergrey give us a product we can cherish for life.

Physical albums have value beyond the audio. Bands like Evergrey give us a product we can cherish for life.

What Can We Do?

I was wandering around a thrift store the other day, checking out their shelves of second-hand CDs. Somebody had once thought it was a good idea to purchase each of those albums but has since decided they didn’t want them anymore. So, they sold them to the thrift shop, where another person can pick them up for a dirt-cheap price. The music lives on, for another generation.

If they were digital albums, the original owner would have simply deleted them when they were sick of them. What a crime. Is there any way to change this way of thinking, and would we even want to?

In my 30+ years as a musician, I have come to the unfortunate conclusion that trying to create any logical change in mainstream culture is like trying to stop a hurricane with a desk fan. The vast majority of people simply don’t care about what will happen in twenty years. As consumers, they want what is cheapest and easiest, and in some ways that’s understandable. They will continue to download songs for a few bucks a pop and the music industry will continue to give them what they want. Expecting people to wake up and figure out the damage this could do is unrealistic.

So, if you do happen to care about music, what can you do? For me, the answer is to continue to buy CDs until another form of physical album comes along. I might not be able to play them in my car, but at least I’ll still own them in 20 years. Like vinyl records today, there will likely still be a way to play them.

If you do choose to buy only digital music, you need to come up with a safe way to store it, controlled completely by you. I’d have a system of dedicated flash drives, and probably backups of those. If the only copy of the music is on your phone, you are asking for trouble.

As for my Jeep, I will probably convert some of my CDs into a digital format so I can listen to them while driving. I’ll have to download them onto my computer and move them over to flash drives or SD cards I guess.

All that seems like a big hassle and something you shouldn’t have to do just to listen to music in your car. There should be an easier way. Like, maybe some kind of disc you could just slide into a player on the dashboard.

Yeah. Somebody ought to work on that idea.

Do You Still Buy Compact Discs?

Comments

KCrusty on July 31, 2020:

I have a lot of CD's as well ...maybe only a few hundred or less. But like you mentioned, Once you move to another format, how many times are you going to pay for the licence to listen to what you already own if you copied all your cd's to a PC hardrive And you move to a new PC your media player will require a licences in order to play it. if you don't have a hard copy then your out of luck. But most people won't care about preserving their old collection

Jon Meltzer on February 10, 2020:

As long as I can keep getting CDs for $1 each at library sales because all the hipsters are dumping them for vinyl, I'm going to keep buying them.

Hell, I remember when vinyl was "worthless". Good thing I saved most of mine then so I can resell it now :-)

Source: https://spinditty.com/industry/How-the-Decline-of-the-Compact-Disc-is-Killing-Music

The Rise and Fall of the Compact Disc

 

CD sales drop to new low

SOURCE: RIAA - The Rise and Fall of CD Sales in US 1983-2019
SOURCE: RIAA – The Rise and Fall of CD Sales in US 1983-2019

Compact Disc (CD)

Updated: 10/04/2020 – The first commercial Compact Disc (CD) was released in 1982 and the CD was planned as the successor to the vinyl record. Developed by Philips and Sony, sales of CDs grew quickly and by 2004 cumulative worldwide sales of audio CDs, CD-ROMs and CD-Rs reached about 30 billion discs and 200 billion by 2007. However, from the beginning of the early 2000s CDs were increasingly being replaced by other forms of digital storage and distribution with the result that by 2010 the number of audio CDs being sold in the US had dropped to about 50% of their peak.

By 2019 sales of music on physical media in the US had fallen to 11% of the total with only 46.5 million CDs (5.5% of the total) sold in the year compared to their peak of 942.5 million copies. CD sales in the UK declined 26.5% during 2019 and were worth £141.7m representing just 13.3% of total revenue.

SOURCE: RIAA - CD Singles Sales in US 1988-2019
SOURCE: RIAA – CD Singles Sales in US 1988-2019

CD Singles

Launched in 1986, CD Singles had a relatively short-lived popularity in the mid-1990s but as digital distribution methods started to become available in the early 2000s sales rapidly dropped. At their peak, CD Singles sold 67 million copies annually in the US and now account for sales of less than $200,000 annually.

SOURCE: RIAA - SACD Sales US 2003-2019
SOURCE: RIAA – SACD Sales US 2003-2019

SACD

Super Audio CD or SACDs were developed to be the successor to the CD. They allowed additional playing time – 110 minutes compared to the 80 minutes of a normal CD – and the ability to record up to 6 channels of audio instead of the usual stereo pair of a CD. Audio quality was claimed to be improved but research published in 2007 in the Audio Engineering Society journal found no significant difference in audio quality between SACDs and CDs at ordinary volume levels. Controversy continues as whether SACDs sound better than standard CDs but commercially SACDs never caught on and from a high of 1.3 million copies sold in the US in 2003, sales have declined to $400,000 annually and mainly to a fiercely loyal audiophile audience.

Compact Disc Timeline

1982 First commercial Compact Disc (CD) released – The Visitors by Abba on 7th August
1986 First commercial CD Single released – Angeline by John Martyn on 1st February
1988
CD sales in the US overtook vinyl LPs
1992 CD sales in the US overtook pre-recorded music cassette tapes
1997 First portable MP3 player was launched in 1997 by Saehan
Information Systems selling its MPMan players in Asia in spring 1998.
1999 Super Audio CD (SACD) format launched
Napster file sharing service launched – 1st June
2000 US sales peaked at 943 million CDs
2001 Pre-recorded music cassette sales in US dropped to 4% of total
Apple launches iPod on 23rd October
2003 Most major US record companies discontinued manufacturing pre-recorded music cassette tapes
2008 CD Singles start to be dropped by record companies and retailers due to lack of demand
Spotify streaming music service launched launched 7th October
2010 US sales of CDs declined to 50% of their peak
2012 US sales of SACDs dip below 100,000 copies
2014 iPod discontinued by Apple after having sold 390 million units
US revenues from digital music services equalled those from physical format sales
2016 1.5 billion smartphones sold globally
2017 US Sales of CDs had declined to 88 million units – 12.7% of US music revenues
One third of the world’s population own a smartphone
2018 Streaming music services account for 80% of the US recorded music market
US Sales of CDs had declined to 52 million units – 7.1% of US music revenues
2019 Smartphone users are projected to number 2.7 billion users

Future of physical CDs

The Rise and Rise of Streaming

Streaming continues to take an ever larger share of the recorded music market increasing 24% in 2019 to make up 56% of global music industry revenues.

In the US streaming accounted for 80% of the recorded music market in 2019 with physical sales and digital downloads continuing to decline.

Future growth in streaming is likely to come from increased sales of Smart Speakers, ‘connected’ cars with In Car Streaming and the near ubiquitous availability of smartphones.

  Are Smart Speakers the future of Streaming?

US retailers are starting to stop stocking physical CDs

According to Billboard magazine, US retailer Best Buy has told music suppliers it will be ceasing the sales of CDs from its stores from the 1st July 2018. Sources estimate that despite being the most powerful music retailer in the US, the company’s CD business is ‘only generating about $40 million’ every year.

Best Buy will continue to sell vinyl for the next two years, which enables them to keep their commitments it made to vendors.

Another retailer, Target, has already reduced its music presence, having gone from selling around 800 music titles to now ‘less than 100 titles in most stores’

Future of the CD format

The future of the format seems assured with streaming services adopting it as the base level audiophile/HiFi standard adopted by Qobuz, TIDAL, Deezer, Primephonic, Idagio and the Neil Young Archives. These early adopters have now been joined by industry heavyweight Amazon with their Amazon HD service launched in September 2019 offering both CD Quality and HiRes streaming to their Standard Quality (320 kbps MP3) streaming subscriptions.

CD Quality streams are usually 44.1kHz/16bit FLAC and will need a steady internet connection of 1.5 to 2 Mbps. A 3½ minute song downloaded for offline listening will typically need 51 MB of storage.

Most smart speakers, gaming devices and smart TVs support the CD Quality file format and there are now even CD Quality Internet Radio Stations offering a range of programming options with audiophile/HiFi quality sound.

  CD Quality Internet Radio
  How to listen to lossless FLAC Internet Radio with your browser

Link: https://www.hiresaudio.online/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-compact-disc/

Opinion from Disgogs: The Future of CDs

 


There has been a lot of press and attention given over the last couple years about the ‘return’ of vinyl, with sales numbers for the format reaching highs unprecedented since the compact disc became popular. Yet while we are celebrating the vinyl renaissance (I love it so much I actually wrote a book about it called Why Vinyl Matters), what HAS happened to our former love, the shiny CD? While I extol the virtues of the LP loudly and often, I have to admit I still do own and play CDs (especially in my car). I decided to ask some of my friends, peers and colleagues what they thought the fate and fortunes of the seemingly jilted CD. In no particular order, here are the responses. If my tiny sample group is any indication, the CD is not extinct just yet. –Jennifer Otter Bickerdike

KEVIN MCMANUS-CURATOR, BRITISH MUSIC EXPERIENCE

As part of the British Music Experience, we have a fascinating small display called Playback that highlights the different ways we have listened to music over the years. In amongst the many lovely bits of kit we have on display (the space age looking 8 track player, the boombox, the Dansette, etc.) the poor old CD player looks dull and functional. Two words that probably sum up the largely unloved CD itself.

CDs got a foothold in the mass market when I was doing a load of freelance writing for NME. One of the perks of a job like that was that you get sent loads of free records. Being a slow adapter of new tech and a generous soul to boot, I initially just gave all my freebie CDs away to more savvy mates and persisted with vinyl. Then record company publicists stopped asking which format you wanted their music in and only sent you CDs. I was reluctantly forced to convert. I don’t think I have ever been fully won over by the format. Even though I do still buy the occasional CD, I’ve never felt any real emotional attachment to my collection of CDs in the same way I do with my vinyl. This became clear to me when I recently moved house and was under strict instructions to throw some of my ‘stuff’ out so that we actually had some space in the new place that wasn’t full of my own mini museum/archive. Suffice to say, every single vinyl record I own survived this savage cull while a mountain of CDs was discarded without causing me any great emotional trauma.

Every house and apartment should have records and record players in them. Things would be better.

JULIA RUZICKA-FUTURE OF THE LEFT

Let’s not bury this little fella just yet. Sure, it’s not as cool as its older vinyl sister, and not as vital as its younger digital brothers; but there is still some value left in the CD. The future isn’t bright, but perhaps somewhat stable? Manufacturing time and costs in terms of vinyl production make the CD still a great option for the merch table on tours – the livelihood for many bands. CDs are easier when moving house. They’re still satisfying to whack into the car stereo on a long trip (for us older car owners) and you generally don’t have to worry about them as much – they are the practical, old school, less glamorous sibling of musical formats. The “meh” within the world of recorded music distribution. Nothing wrong with a bit of “meh” in our lives from time to time.

SIMONE ODARANILE-THE GO! TEAM

Growing up and during my teens, my CD Walkman and CD collection were literally my best friends! It’s like comparing E-readers and tablets to books: For me there is not the same personal connection when reading through album artwork and physically placing a CD in to a machine as there is to downloading a track from iTunes. There is something special about having a collection and watching it grow right in front of your eyes! CDs are perfect for bands and artist of all sizes to create and sell; they are an all-arounder for everyone. Let’s not let them go just yet, hey?

CHARLIE ASHCROFT-BT AND AMAZING RADIO

The CD should survive its relative lull. Vinyl costs (to manufacture and buy) are rising, so demand for it may wane again, meaning the CD may re-surface as the physical product, although some distance away from the sales peaks of past decades. Continued mainstream supermarket presence will still count for a lot. Download codes could accompany CD purchases, given the amount of computers without CD drives. Outside the home, CDs still serve the commute, in the same way that FM radio hasn’t disappeared yet. Not everyone has the newest DAB-fitted, data-enabled vehicle — or a streaming subscription.

LUKE GRIFFITHS-FALSE HEADS

The future of CDs seems to be in an extremely bizarre place at the moment. For me, and a lot of people in their twenties and late teens, the CD was like having vinyl (this was really just before the vinyl resurgence occurred). I have a lot of affection for the CD, it was like what vinyl was back in the day AND for what it is now for a lot of people. You had a physical copy of something, with lyrics, liner notes- a proper physical copy in your hand. It’s not like now where record players are everywhere and vinyl is in vogue (which is a good thing, in my opinion; music is more than just streaming) so as a 15-year-old, there wasn’t much chance of getting a record player, and why would I? Vinyl seemed to be dead. Now, vinyl is back and even from our perspective, barely anyone buys our CDs, everyone buys our vinyl. So where do CDs stand? I don’t know. But who expected vinyl to come back like this? Also, remember EVERYONE has a CD player, so I’m not convinced they’re being killed off just yet.

KIM BAYLEY-ENTERTAINMENT RETAILERS ASSOCIATION, RECORD STORE DAY UK

The compact disc remains the most transformational format the music industry has ever seen. Neither the download nor yet streaming have managed to eclipse it. Importantly, 15 years since the launch of iTunes in the UK, the compact disc remains the UK’s biggest album format with around 750,000 discs sold every week. Despite the acres of newsprint devoted to the vinyl revival, the CD stills outsells its vinyl precursor by about ten to one. The relatively poor perception of CD these is in part a factor of just how successful it was: its ubiquity has meant it is too often taken for granted. The fact is its virtues – convenience, sound quality, portability – are the same today as when it was first launched. Sales are certainly down, but CD still has a lot of life left in it.

GRAHAM JONES-AUHTOR, LAST SHOP STANDING

When it was invented in the 1980s the CD was viewed as the future of music. It looked space aged, a gleaming silver disc that the industry told us had a superior sound and no matter how much wear and tear it suffered, would always play perfectly. We were encouraged to change our vinyl collections over to this exciting format, and the industry was happy to sell us our record collections all over again.

The problem with the CD is that it has not improved in more than 30 years. We can send a spacecraft to the edge of the universe but have still not invented a satisfactory CD case. If crushed, the teeth of the plastic tray break so when you open your CD, lots of little pieces of plastic drop out. CDs are wrapped in that irritating plastic that is difficult to tear off. You end up using your teeth or getting a knife. It is as if the format has been sentenced to a long lingering death and nobody is prepared to save it.

People treasure vinyl and take great care not to damage it, yet people don’t value the CD in the same way. My job involves driving all over the UK to visit record shops. On these trips, I take the opportunity to listen to many of our forthcoming releases that I will be selling to the record shops. When I have finished listening to a CD, I throw it on the seat of the car or in to the glove compartment. When I have finished listening to vinyl, I don’t hurl it across the room like a frisbee. The record is carefully replaced in the inner sleeve, before being inserted in the album cover.

Nobody can deny that the CD is undergoing a long and steady decline but talk of “the death of the CD” is premature. It is important to recognize that all formats are integral in ensuring that music prospers. The CD should not be a format we ignore, they are an integral part of the British music industry success story that ought to be celebrated.


RHIAN JONES-MUSIC BUSINESS WORLDWIDE, HITS

For 15 years from the early ‘90s, CDs ruled the music market after rocketing past cassettes to represent the number one format in which people would buy tunes. Before that, cassettes had done the same to vinyl, and now digital is doing it to physical. In 2015, cash generated from the sale of digital downloads and music streaming surpassed CDs (and vinyl), and last year, streaming alone took a 38% marketshare while CD sales counted for less than 30%, according to stats from the IFPI. The global domination of smartphones is only growing and you can’t jam a CD into an iPhone. At their current rate of decline, CDs will count for less than 15% of the music market by 2025 — and it’s surely only downhill from there. If you can afford a bespoke music listening experience at home, would you chose high quality sounding and beautiful looking vinyl, or compressed CDs in plastic casing? In the words of British troubadour Sam Smith, the writing’s on the wall.


JOEL D’EATH-MUSIC FOR NATIONS

Even with my relatively short time in the music industry, I have been surprised multiple times by the changes in people’s listening habits. Fifteen years ago who would have even considered that people would have access to millions of songs on a telephone (that fit in your pocket!!), but equally people are baffled that a vinyl LP is now not just a nostalgic safety blanket, but a format powerhouse in 2018 (24,500 UK sales for Arctic Monkey’s Tranquillity Base Hotel & Casino in one week). So what’s the future of CDs? I’m unsure, but I’m not throwing mine away, I could be sitting on a goldmine!


DEAN HEWINS-BOOGALOO DEE

I don’t think CDs will be obsolete, just look at what happened to cassettes and how that has become a collectors’ thing now after being obsolete for many years. There is always the gifting market to keep it going, albeit in a much smaller capacity.

I find it hard to believe that they will be revered as records are, but for the collectors market, and the possibility of CD only versions of albums (Michaels Jackson‘s Bad included Leave Me Alone on CD only for example) will drive the music fans who feel the need for physical media, but don’t collect vinyl.


BRENT GREISSLE-DISCOGS’ DISCOGRAPHY SPECIALIST

There’s room for a resurgence here, but I have my doubts. Sales of CDs have been increasing over the past few years. They’re still a fraction of the market, which vinyl still holds control over. As a collector, I’m finding that good records are getting harder to find at affordable prices. Vinyl has more competition between collectors. CDs are going to continue to grow over time. People will find new music without extensive efforts to find affordable copies. CDs are also much quicker to produce than vinyl and at a fraction of the cost. This is more attractive to artists looking for physical merchandise. As ’90s/’00s nostalgia continues to grow, people are going to want the music and media of their youth.

There are a few down sides to CDs that I can see continuing to hamper growth. During the heyday of CDs, pretty much every vehicle and computer had a CD player. CD collectors may need to go through more effort to find functioning players. There is also evidence that CDs may have a shorter lifespan than records. Issues such as bronzing or cheap CDR degradation may mean unplayable copies.


Source: https://blog.discogs.com/en/the-future-of-cds/